SARS-CoV-2: 두 판 사이의 차이

이 바이러스의 [[기초감염재생산수]](R0, R Zero라고 읽음)는 1.4명에서 5.5명 사이이다.<ref>{{웹 인용|url=https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/01/how-fast-and-far-will-new-coronavirus-spread/605632/|제목=The Deceptively Simple Number Sparking Coronavirus Fears|날짜=2020-01-28|웹사이트=[[The Atlantic]]|확인날짜=2020-01-29|보존url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200129050844/https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/01/how-fast-and-far-will-new-coronavirus-spread/605632/|보존날짜=2020-01-29|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{저널 인용|성1=Li, Qun and Guan, Xuhua and Wu, Peng and Wang, Xiaoye and Zhou, Lei and Tong, Yeqing and Ren, Ruiqi and Leung, Kathy S M and Lau, Eric H Y and Wong, Jessica Y and Xing, Xuesen and Xiang, Nijuan and Wu, Yang and Li, Chao and Chen, Qi and Li, Dan and Liu, Tian and Zhao, Jing and Li, Man and Tu, Wenxiao and Chen, Chuding and Jin, Lianmei and Yang, Rui and Wang, Qi and Zhou, Suhua and Wang, Rui and Liu, Hui and Luo, Yingbo and Liu, Yuan and Shao, Ge and Li, Huan and Tao, Zhongfa and Yang, Yang and Deng, Zhiqiang and Liu, Boxi and Ma, Zhitao and Zhang, Yanping and Shi, Guoqing and Lam, Tommy T Y and Wu, Joseph T K and Gao, George F and Cowling, Benjamin J and Yang, Bo and Leung, Gabriel M and Feng, Zijian |제목=Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia |journal=N Engl J Med |날짜=2020 |doi=10.1056/NEJMoa2001316}}</ref><ref>{{저널 인용|성1=Riou|이름1=Julien|성2=Althaus|이름2=Christian L. |제목=Pattern of early human-to-human transmission of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV), December 2019 to January 2020 |journal=Eurosurveillance |날짜=2020 |volume=25 |issue=4 |doi=10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058}}</ref><ref>{{저널 인용|last=Read|first=Jonathan M.|last2=Bridgen|first2=Jessica RE|last3=Cummings|first3=Derek AT|last4=Ho|first4=Antonia|last5=Jewell|first5=Chris P.|date=28 January 2020|title=Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions|journal=MedRxiv|doi=10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549| name-list-format=vanc |doi-access=free | id=License:CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 }}</ref> 이 말은 방치 시 이 바이러스가 기존 1감염당 1.4명 내지 5.5명의 새로운 환자를 낳는다는 의미이다. 란셋지([[:en:The Lancet]])는 예비 조사 결과에서 이 바이러스 감염자 중 사망률을 2.9%로<ref>{{저널 인용|last=Wang|first=Chen|성2=Horby|이름2=Peter W|성3=Hayden|이름3=Frederick G|last4=Gao|이름4=George F|날짜=2020-01-24|제목=A novel coronavirus outbreak of global health concern| url=https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0140673620301859| journal=The Lancet|언어=영어|volume=|pages=S0140673620301859|doi=10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30185-9|pmid=31986257|via=}}</ref>, 보수적 예측을 하는 세계보건기구는 상황 보고에서 감염 치사율([[:en:Infection Fatality Ratio]])은 0.3% 내지 1%로<ref name="WHO19feb2020">{{보고서 인용| vauthors=((World Health Organization)) | year=2020 | title=Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Report – 30 | publisher=[[World Health Organization]] |url=https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200219-sitrep-30-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=3346b04f_2}}</ref>, 확진 환자 [[치사율]](Case Fatality Rate)은 [[SARS]]의 치사율인 9.6%보다 낮은 수치인<ref name="WHO04jul2004">{{보고서 인용| vauthors=((World Health Organization)) | year=2004 | title=SARS: the new challenge to international health and travel medicine | publisher=[[World Health Organization]] |url=https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/119464?locale-attribute=fr& }}</ref>, 2.3%로 추정했다<ref name="WHO20feb2020">{{보고서 인용| vauthors=((World Health Organization)) | year=2020 | title=The epidemiological characteristics of an outbreak of 2019 novel

coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) in China | publisher=[[World Health Organization]] |url=https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/articles/coronavirus-(covid-19)-selected-bibliographic-references-18-02-2020-v1.pdf?sfvrsn=c8b8baa5_0 }}</ref>. 그러나 [[세계보건기구]], [[미국 질병통제예방센터]], 유럽 질병통제예방센터([[:en:European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control]]), 중국 [[국가위생건강위원회]], 딩샹위안([[:en:DXY]])의 자료 출처를 일정한 방법<ref group="내용주">En Sheng Dong, Hongru Du, Lauren Gardener. An interactive web-based dashboard to track COVID-19 in real time. The Lancet. [https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30120-1/fulltext] {{웨이백|url=https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30120-1/fulltext |날짜=20200228184105 }}</ref>으로 실시간으로 취합해 [[메타데이터]]에 가장 가까운 존스 홉킨스 대학교([[:en:Johns Hopkins University]]) 시스템 과학 및 공학 센터 코로나바이러스감염증-19 환자 현황에 따르면, 2018년 2월 28일 10시 33분경 이 바이러스에 원인이 있는 실제 사망률은 3.43%[=2856*100/83342]로 추정된다.<ref name="CSSEUpdate"/>

 

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